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58m ago

Prop 50 Heads Toward Passage as Newsom Halts Fundraising and Early Votes Surge

The measure is cast as a counter to Texas’ mid-decade map, potentially shifting up to five House seats.

Sen. Mark Peake, a Republican from Lynchburg, speaks during a special legislative session, in Richmond, Virginia, on Wednesday.
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Canvasser Fay Eastman leaves a pro Prop 50 brochure in a screen door in Oakland, Calif. on Oct. 4, 2025. The Alameda Labor Council hosted a canvassing event in support of Proposition 50.
Demonstrators hold signs during a rally opposing redistricting at the Indiana Statehouse in Indianapolis, Indiana, on September 18.

Overview

  • New PPIC polling shows 56% of likely voters backing Prop 50, echoing recent CBS/YouGov and Emerson findings in the high 50s to low 60s.
  • Newsom told supporters to stop donating after the campaign said it met its budget, with backers raising well over $100 million versus roughly $11 million for opponents.
  • Early voting is heavy, with more than 4.8 million ballots returned—about 21% of voters—ahead of the Nov. 4 special election.
  • If approved, Prop 50 would use Legislature-drawn congressional maps for 2026, 2028 and 2030, then return authority to the independent commission in 2031.
  • Supporters say the map could create up to five Democratic-leaning districts, as DOJ election monitors and state observers oversee the process and prominent Republicans including Arnold Schwarzenegger urge a no vote.