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Prop 50 Enters Final Weekend With Yes Lead, Record Outside Spending, DOJ Monitor Dispute

Backed by Gov. Gavin Newsom, the measure would hand mapmaking to the Legislature through 2030 to counter Texas‑style redistricting, potentially shifting up to five U.S. House seats.

Overview

  • New surveys show Proposition 50 ahead statewide, with Berkeley IGS at 60% Yes to 38% No and PPIC at 56% Yes to 43% No, as mail voters lean Yes and Election Day in‑person voters lean No.
  • Independent groups reported nearly $26 million in spending through Oct. 30, a state record, led by Tom Steyer’s $12.8 million in support and more than $10.2 million from the California Republican Party in opposition, aided by contributions from national PACs.
  • California Senators Alex Padilla and Adam Schiff asked the Justice Department to withdraw planned federal observers for selected counties, challenging a deployment expected in Kern, Riverside, Fresno, Orange and Los Angeles.
  • Counties expanded early voting options for the Nov. 4 special election, with Los Angeles adding 140 vote centers and San Diego opening 68, while officials warned of fewer locations than a regular general election and possible long lines on Tuesday.
  • More than 5 million vote‑by‑mail ballots have been returned statewide, including 952,231 in Los Angeles County, and San Bernardino County reports roughly 18% of mailed ballots already cast.