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Projections Split on 2026 Draft’s No. 1 QB: Kiper Sees Saints Taking Mendoza, Odds Back Simpson

Dueling mocks, betting odds plus scouting grades leave the No. 1 quarterback choice unresolved.

Overview

  • ESPN’s Mel Kiper Jr. and Field Yates projected Fernando Mendoza to the Saints at No. 1, with Ty Simpson going to the Jets at No. 3 in their latest mock draft discussion.
  • FanDuel lists Ty Simpson as the current favorite to be selected first overall at +185, with Fernando Mendoza next at +230.
  • Kirk Herbstreit named Simpson the top passer in the class, citing processing and decision-making as the Alabama starter posts 2,461 yards, 21 touchdowns and one interception.
  • Bleacher Report’s scouting department ranks Mendoza as the only quarterback among its top 10 overall prospects, boosted by a season featuring 2,124 yards, 25 touchdowns and 72.3% completions through nine games for Indiana.
  • Dante Moore’s draft availability remains uncertain due to Oregon’s NIL dynamics, keeping the quarterback board fluid as teams assess their options.