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Progressive Upsets Ignite Intraparty Fight Over Swing-State Primaries

August primaries in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin will decide whether far-left momentum can translate into statewide electability that alters the Senate map.

Overview

  • In recent weeks dozens of Sanders-aligned and DSA-backed progressives have won Democratic primaries and toppled longtime incumbents in low-turnout contests, giving the movement clear momentum.
  • High-profile progressives including Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez have campaigned for Senate contenders Abdul El-Sayed and Peggy Flanagan as both races draw national attention and activist energy.
  • Party leaders and moderates have pushed back with endorsements for establishment candidates and heavy spending from outside groups such as the United Democracy Project, which is aligned with AIPAC and has funded ads for Haley Stevens.
  • The movement has also faced setbacks that sharpen electability concerns, most notably Graham Platner’s withdrawal from the Maine Senate race after a sexual-assault allegation and controversy over El-Sayed’s stances on Medicare for All, ICE and Israel.
  • The August contests will shape November strategy because a progressive nominee in a close state could make it harder for Democrats to hold or win Senate seats, and coverage of the fights is split with outlets emphasizing either a growing grassroots wave or a risky leftward shift.