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Professor Whose 2024 Forecasts Went Viral Warns U.S. Would Lose War With Iran

His latest interview argues that Iran’s long preparation could deny the U.S. a quick win.

Overview

  • Multiple outlets report that two of Xueqin Jiang’s 2024 forecasts have occurred: President Trump’s reelection and a major U.S.–Iran confrontation tied to Israeli interests.
  • The Root adds that Jiang also predicted JD Vance as Trump’s running mate months before the July 2024 announcement.
  • In a March 2 Breaking Points interview, he called the fight a war of attrition and said Iran has spent roughly two decades preparing for it.
  • He argues Iran and allied groups are striking GCC energy and water infrastructure to pressure global markets, with recent reports circulating of a drone hit on a Bahraini desalination plant.
  • Jiang says airpower cannot achieve regime change and predicts mounting pressure for a U.S. ground deployment, while stressing his analysis is historical and game-theory based rather than official intelligence.