Overview

• NASA has revised the probability of an impact by asteroid 2024 YR4 on the Moon to 4.3%.
• Observations from the James Webb Space Telescope have improved trajectory estimates by almost 20%.
• NASA and ESA concluded in February that the asteroid no longer poses any risk to Earth.
• The asteroid is currently too distant for observation and will become visible again in 2028.
• At roughly 60 meters across, a Moon impact would not alter the lunar orbit, agencies say.