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Pro-Bitcoin Nobel Laureate María Corina Machado Rises in Venezuela’s Succession Fight

Prediction markets currently place her behind Delcy Rodríguez with odds near one in five.

Overview

  • Following the U.S. military capture and transfer of Nicolás Maduro, Machado has moved into the top tier of contenders tracked by forecasting platforms.
  • Latest Polymarket pricing shows Machado near 19%, trailing Edmundo González Urrutia at about 24% and Acting President Delcy Rodríguez at roughly 34%.
  • Machado, the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize recipient, promotes using Bitcoin as a reserve asset and expanding its role in daily transactions.
  • President Donald Trump said she "doesn’t have the support or respect," a public rebuff that coincided with softer betting odds on her immediate rise.
  • Analysts note her crypto-forward agenda contrasts with past crackdowns on mining under Maduro, as many Venezuelans turned to BTC and stablecoins during hyperinflation.