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57m ago

Private Forecasts Put Argentina’s October Inflation at 2.1%–2.8%

INDEC will publish the official rate on Nov. 12.

De acuerdo con las mediciones privadas, la suba del dólar antes de las elecciones se trasladó a los precios en góndola e hizo subir la inflación
Alimentos y bebidas se fue acelerando, con una suba de 2,9% en cuatro semanas, pero promediando 1,4% en el mes, según C&T
La insatisfacción de la gente: una idea del porque, por Kurt Burneo
Tras el respiro que significó la inflación del 2,1% en septiembre, las estimaciones privadas indican que el Índice de Precios al Consumidor (IPC) de octubre volverá a mostrar una suba.

Overview

  • Consultancies broadly expect a pickup from September’s 2.1%, citing food-price gains and earlier dollar volatility linked to pre‑election uncertainty.
  • Point estimates vary: LCG around 2.5%, EcoGo and Libertad y Progreso near 2.4%–2.8%, Econviews 2.4%–2.7%, Analytica about 2.2%, C&T roughly 2% in GBA, Equilibra 2.1%, and PxQ 1.9%.
  • Several firms trimmed late-month readings after markets steadied post‑election, noting limited exchange‑rate pass‑through and a softer final week for prices.
  • Food categories showing the biggest October increases include dairy, eggs, bakery products and meats, with regulated items such as public transport, telecom and health plans also adding pressure.
  • Survey signals diverge, with UTDT’s average monthly expectation at 3.96% (median 3%) and the Central Bank’s REM pointing closer to 2%.