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Private Charts Flag Late-Week UK Snow Risk as Met Office Downplays Widespread Snow

Official guidance urges caution despite model hints of Thursday–Friday wintry bursts with strong winds.

Overview

  • WXCharts and other model visualisations indicate snow could develop from Thursday night into Friday across parts of south Wales, the Midlands and northwest England, with Scotland favoured for higher totals.
  • BBC Weather and the Met Office describe an overall changeable, relatively mild setup with a low probability of meaningful, widespread snowfall outside higher ground in the north.
  • Several long-range runs vary on timing and extent, with projections also pointing to potential events around January 18–20 and later in the month, underscoring low confidence.
  • SEPA warns that heavy rain combined with snowmelt heightens flood risk in Dumfries and Galloway and the west and north of Scotland, with travel and local impacts possible.
  • Forecasters expect periods of rain and gusts near 60 mph on Thursday, which could produce wind chill and disruption even where snowfall is limited.