Overview

• Manchester City now holds a 97.69% chance of securing a top-five finish after four consecutive wins and the easiest remaining schedule, according to Opta projections.
• Chelsea's recent form, including a victory over Liverpool, has boosted their qualification chances to 66.52%, up from 29.73% just weeks ago.
• Nottingham Forest's slump, with three losses in their last four matches, has cut their Champions League qualification probability nearly in half to 44.32%.
• Newcastle United remains in strong contention with a 77.89% chance, benefiting from Forest's struggles despite mixed results in recent matches.
• Aston Villa faces the steepest challenge, holding just a 13.69% chance of a top-five finish and needing to win all remaining games while relying on rivals to drop points.