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Prediction Markets Close 2025 in a Boom as Legal Battles Set Stage for 2026

Conflicting rulings keep Polymarket’s nationwide sports relaunch in market pending broader legal resolution.

Overview

  • Weekly trading volumes topped $2 billion across major platforms including Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless and Myriad in 2025.
  • Polymarket relaunched in the U.S. on Dec. 2 with sports-only markets available in all 50 states and has so far seen no direct regulatory action.
  • A Nevada federal judge allowed the state regulator to seek to stop Kalshi’s sports contracts, while a New Jersey judge let Kalshi continue operating as appeals proceed.
  • Institutional funding surged, with Intercontinental Exchange committing up to $2 billion to Polymarket and Kalshi securing a $1 billion round led by Paradigm.
  • Partnerships with the NHL, UFC, CNN and CNBC, plus planned Google integrations, contrast with resistance from the NFL, NCAA and MLB, as experts forecast consolidation and a possible Supreme Court review.