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Prediction Market Puts Carson Beck as Cardinals’ Likely No. 3 Pick

Polymarket’s pricing positions the Miami quarterback above scouting consensus ahead of Arizona’s decision at No. 3.

Overview

  • Polymarket assigns Beck a 41% chance to be drafted third overall by Arizona, making him the market favorite for that slot.
  • Consensus evaluators place him far lower, including No. 99 on the NFL Mock Draft Database and a “late Day 2/early Day 3” grade from Mel Kiper Jr.
  • Arizona owns the No. 3 pick after a 3-14 season, has uncertainty around Kyler Murray following limited 2025 action, and has undergone a coaching change.
  • Social media reaction features pushback from fans who doubt Beck as a top-three selection despite his 2025 production at Miami.
  • The NFL Scouting Combine and medical checks are expected to be the next major factors in resolving the gap between market odds and scout grades.