Overview
- Predict.fun is live with two markets, reporting roughly $300,000 in volume, about 12,000 users, and nearly 300,000 bets.
- User funds continue to earn yield while positions are open, a design meant to reduce the opportunity cost of long-running wagers.
- CZ highlighted the launch on X, noted the founders are ex-Binance, and clarified his post was not an endorsement; YZi Labs incubated and invested in the project.
- BNB Chain’s large active-wallet base could aid adoption, though limited stablecoin supply on the network may constrain liquidity.
- The newcomer trails incumbents, with Polymarket at over $3 billion in lifetime volume and Kalshi near $587 million, and it enters a sector facing fresh regulatory scrutiny such as Connecticut’s recent actions against prediction offerings.