Overview

• SPC says the primary corridor for severe winds is focused along the northern Oklahoma–southern Kansas border before daybreak, with potential gusts of 75–90 mph and a brief tornado; Severe Thunderstorm Watch 617 remains active with an additional watch possible to the east.
• WPC reports fast-moving storms across southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma producing sub-hourly totals of 1–2 inches and localized 2–3 inch amounts, creating a localized flash-flood threat overnight.
• WPC highlights a deformation zone over western and central Kansas supporting slow-moving, efficient rains with rates up to 1.75 inches per hour and localized 2–3+ inch totals, raising the risk of scattered flash flooding.
• A new WPC discussion flags northeast Kansas into northwest Missouri and far southeast Nebraska for short-duration rates up to 2 inches per hour with 2–3 inches in 1–3 hours, posing issues for urban areas including the Kansas City corridor.
• Forecasters note expanding convective clusters across the central Plains with continuing hail and wind hazards and further watch considerations as storms organize and propagate east to southeast.