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Prabowo Rejects MSCI Warning Over Possible Market Downgrade

MSCI's consultation threatens exclusion from major indexes, risking billions in passive outflows.

Overview

  • MSCI opened a formal consultation that cites suspected coordinated trading and poor ownership transparency and says it may move Indonesia from emerging to standalone status.
  • The consultation unsettled investors and helped trigger steep stock and currency moves that led regulators and the exchange to tighten trading limits, propose fines and roll out market‑stabilizing measures.
  • President Prabowo publicly rejected MSCI's warning as intimidation while a government spokesperson framed his remarks as an invitation to pressure‑free dialogue with the index provider.
  • A former trade minister alleged Singapore sovereign investors pressured MSCI but the firms named denied the claim and no independent verification has been reported.
  • The consultation remains open and could cause sustained passive outflows and higher borrowing costs if Indonesia is reclassified, so investors are watching for verifiable enforcement of the government's reforms.