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Powell Opens Door to September Rate Cut at Jackson Hole as Fight Over Lisa Cook Escalates

Investors now expect a quarter-point move in September after Powell linked a cooling job market to rising tariff effects.

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Overview

  • Powell said the balance of risks has shifted, with inflation risks higher and employment risks lower, signaling potential policy easing.
  • He noted tariff-driven price increases are already visible and could accumulate over the coming months with uncertain timing and magnitude.
  • Stocks jumped and the dollar slipped as traders priced a 25 basis-point cut next month and saw scope for additional reductions this year.
  • A Justice Department letter signed by Ed Martin urged Powell to remove Governor Lisa Cook, who rejects fraud allegations and says she will not resign.
  • President Trump threatened to fire Cook, while dissidents including Stephen Miran, Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller press for faster, larger cuts that could split upcoming votes.