Overview
- At Jackson Hole, Jerome Powell said the balance of risks has shifted and left open a 25‑basis‑point cut as soon as September without committing to a timetable.
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 846 points, or 1.9%, to a record close, while the S&P 500 rose about 1.5% and the Nasdaq gained roughly 1.8%.
- U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the 10‑year down to about 4.25% from 4.33%, and the dollar weakened to a one‑month low.
- CME FedWatch showed market‑implied odds for a 25‑bp September cut climbing into the high‑80s to around 90 percent.
- Risk assets broadly advanced, with small caps up 3.9% on the Russell 2000, Tesla up 6.2%, Intel up 5.5% after a Trump remark about a government stake, Bitcoin up ~4%, and gold higher by about 1%.