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Post-Election Study Finds Dutton at Record Low as Labor Overtakes Coalition on Economy

The AES release points to structural weaknesses for the Coalition, from a steep gender gap to eroded trust in US security guarantees.

Overview

  • Peter Dutton recorded a 3.2 out of 10 popularity score and only 8% of voters thought he won the debates, the lowest results in the AES since 1987.
  • Labor led the Coalition by four points on economic management, breaking the Coalition’s decades-long perceived advantage.
  • The Coalition posted its lowest share of votes from women on record, with women shifting toward Labor and the Greens.
  • A record 25% of respondents said they do not feel close to any party and only 34% reported always voting the same way, indicating rising volatility.
  • Trust that the United States would come to Australia’s defence fell to 55%, down from 73% in 2022, according to the study.