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Portugal's Ruling Party Wins Election but Faces Another Minority Government

Luis Montenegro's Democratic Alliance secures the most votes but falls short of a majority, prolonging political instability as Chega gains ground.

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Supporters gather at a rally held by Andre Ventura, leader of Portugal's far-right political party Chega, on the final day of campaigning, ahead of Portugal's general election, in Lisbon, Portugal, May 16, 2025. REUTERS/Rodrigo Antunes/File Photo
Incumbent Prime Minister and leader of the center-right Social Democratic Party Luis Montenegro gestures to supporters during an election campaign action in downtown Lisbon, Friday, May 16, 2025, ahead of the May 18 general election. (AP Photo/Ana Brigida)
Socialist Party secretary general Pedro Nuno Santos waves to supporters during an election campaign action in Moscavide, on the outskirts of Lisbon, Friday, May 16, 2025, ahead of the May 18 general election. (AP Photo/Armando Franca)

Overview

  • Portugal's Democratic Alliance (AD), led by Prime Minister Luis Montenegro, won 32.7% of the vote in the May 18 election but failed to achieve the 42% needed for a parliamentary majority.
  • This marks Portugal's third general election in three years, following the collapse of the previous AD minority government over a confidence vote tied to corruption allegations.
  • The far-right Chega party saw a significant rise in support, securing 22.6% of the vote and challenging the Socialist Party for second place in parliament.
  • Key campaign issues included Portugal's housing crisis and immigration policy, with the outgoing government controversially expelling 18,000 undocumented immigrants ahead of the election.
  • The AD is expected to form another minority government or seek a coalition, but political fragmentation raises doubts about long-term stability.