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Pop Mart Slides After J.P. Morgan Downgrade as Labubu Hype Cools

The cut to Neutral cites rich valuation with scarce near‑term catalysts.

Overview

  • Pop Mart shares fell as much as 8.9% in Hong Kong on September 15, marking the steepest intraday drop since April.
  • J.P. Morgan lowered its rating to Neutral and cut the price target by 25% to HK$300, flagging an expensive valuation and limited visibility on drivers of growth.
  • Demand signals have softened as Labubu’s secondary‑market premium narrows, with some variants down up to 37% in recent months.
  • Despite the pullback, first‑half results were strong with revenue tripling and profit up about 396%, and non‑Labubu lines exceeding ¥1 billion in Q2 sales.
  • Analysts say Pop Mart plans an animation, a new Labubu version and interactive toys before Christmas, while the brand also entered Mexico with weekly online drops that could face prospective tariff headwinds.