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Polymarket Pulls Bet on 'Cornell Seven' After Public Backlash

The removal deepens questions about whether private prediction markets should let people wager on pending criminal allegations and adds pressure on celebrity endorsers and regulators.

Overview

  • Polymarket opened an international market on Sept. 30 that let users bet on whether seven Cornell fraternity members would face felony sex-crime charges by January 2027.
  • Traders placed roughly $451,633 on the contract and were pricing the chance of charges at about 28 percent before the page was taken down.
  • Polymarket initially defended the market as providing objective, data-driven insight but then removed the contract after press reports and activist pressure and declined to explain the reversal.
  • Survivor advocates launched a ‘No Gambling on Gang Rape!’ petition that targeted high-profile Polymarket endorsers, including LeBron James, pressuring them over reputational ties to the platform.
  • Reporting shows other criminal-case markets remained accessible to non-U.S. users, and lawmakers, rivals such as Kalshi, and monitoring firms like BETINT have raised concerns about interference, insider trading and the need for clearer oversight.