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Polls Show Trump’s Approval Sliding as Voters Rate Him Below Biden

Analysts warn fallout from the Minneapolis shooting could deepen a decline not yet fully captured in surveys.

Overview

  • An Economist/YouGov survey finds 40% approval and 54% disapproval (net -14), a slight week-over-week improvement yet still underwater across most issues.
  • Harvard CAPS–Harris reports 53% say the economy is worse than under Biden and 51% say Trump is doing a worse job than Biden, with overall approval down to 45% and declines across the economy, immigration, and foreign affairs.
  • The same Harvard poll shows mixed views on enforcement in Minneapolis: 51% approve of Trump’s handling of anti-ICE protests, yet majorities say ICE and CBP have gone too far and favor agent body-camera and identification requirements.
  • Nate Silver’s tracker places net approval at -14.3 and notes Trump’s ratings could fall further as the January 24 killing of Alex Pretti is fully reflected in polling.
  • Methodological splits persist, with Reuters/Ipsos at 38% approval, AP‑NORC near 40%, Quinnipiac at 37%, and GOP‑aligned pollsters like InsiderAdvantage and McLaughlin showing about 50%, as Trump publicly touts “highest ever” numbers on Truth Social.