Overview

• A Save Jersey/Valcour poll conducted September 23–24 finds Sherrill at 47% and Jack Ciattarelli at 45% with a 2.8-point margin of error.
• An Emerson College survey taken September 22–23 shows a 43%–43% tie with 11% undecided, underscoring a statistical deadlock.
• Newsweek reports that Sherrill’s largely unredacted military records were reportedly shared with a Ciattarelli ally, prompting Ciattarelli to urge their release as the campaigns spar over transparency.
• Voters rank taxes, cost of living, and affordability as top concerns in Rutgers polling, while Emerson pegs Governor Phil Murphy’s approval at 35%.
• Despite New Jersey’s Democratic tilt and a history of electing governors from the party opposite the White House, both parties view the contest as a 2026 bellwether, with Trump publicly boosting Ciattarelli.