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Polls Show California Governor's Race Wide Open as Newsom Gains for 2028

Harris's decision not to run leaves a fluid 2026 field with voters showing greater enthusiasm for Newsom.

California Governor Gavin Newsom attends a bill signing event in Sacramento on August 21, 2025.
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Overview

  • A UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times poll conducted Aug. 11–17 finds nearly 4 in 10 registered voters undecided in the 2026 governor's race to succeed term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom.
  • Among voters with a preference, Katie Porter leads at 17% and Republican Sheriff Chad Bianco is at 10%, with other declared and potential contenders in single digits.
  • When first and second choices are combined, Porter registers 22%, Xavier Becerra 18%, Bianco 15% and Steve Hilton 12%, underscoring a tightly bunched field under California’s top-two primary system.
  • The Berkeley/LA Times survey also shows 45% of Californians enthusiastic about a Newsom presidential run compared with 36% for Harris, and nearly two-thirds say Harris should not run again, including 51% of Democrats.
  • A separate Morning Consult poll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents (Aug. 22–24) puts Newsom at 19% for 2028, up from 11% in June and 5% in March, while Harris leads at 29% after slipping from 36% in March.