Overview

• Election analyst Nate Silver reports Trump’s net approval near its second‑term low around minus 10, with a brief uptick driven by a single outlier survey.
• Recent polls from New York Times/Siena, Pew, Marist, Marquette, YouGov/The Economist, Morning Consult, Quinnipiac and YouGov/Yahoo all show negative net approval, and strong disapproval has climbed to roughly 44 percent.
• The federal government shutdown that began last week has not materially shifted Trump’s standing so far, though multiple surveys find more Americans blame Republicans and Trump than Democrats for the standoff.
• A new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll finds voters split on the economy’s strength, with 58 percent saying tariffs are harming the economy and 52 percent saying Trump’s policies are costing jobs, while his strongest issue rating is on crime.
• Other surveys cited by The Hill show a majority saying the country is on the wrong track and disapproving of Trump’s handling of inflation, underscoring midterm risks despite the stability in his top‑line approval.