Overview
- A Reuters/Ipsos survey released Sept. 21 found President Trump’s overall approval at 32 percent, the lowest of his career, and just 17 percent approved of his handling of the cost of living.
- National polls from CNN, NPR/PBS/Marist and Reuters show Democrats leading on the generic congressional ballot by margins that give them a plausible path to flip one or both chambers of Congress.
- Recent state-level polls from Suffolk and Marist show Democratic Senate challengers leading in key contests such as Michigan and Iowa, turning previously competitive or GOP-leaning races into must-defend fights for Republicans.
- The administration’s war with Iran has been tied to sharp increases in gasoline and diesel prices and growing public disapproval, a trend that multiple polls link to voter frustration with the president’s economic stewardship.
- Fragile Republican campaigns are visibly distancing from Trump — with some candidates calling to end the war or suspend gas taxes and a handful of lawmakers voting to rein in war powers — while late turnout, ad spending and redistricting will shape final results.