Overview
- Aggregated polls published this week place the PP in the mid‑30s of support and convert that into roughly 150 seats while the PSOE trails near 27.6 percent and about 110 seats in current projections.
- A Sigma Dos survey for El Mundo reports Feijóo could be the top party in as many as 36 provinces, reflecting gains across both large urban districts and smaller rural constituencies.
- Poll averages show Vox consolidated as the third national force and, together with the PP, the two parties reach roughly 194 seats in some projections, a level that would be above the 176‑seat majority threshold.
- Feijóo recovered some lost support after the Oct. 28 Urda train crash, with Sigma Dos fieldwork on Oct. 29–30 showing a short‑term rebound that shifted seat estimates toward the right bloc.
- The left is projected to lose ground because votes are split between PSOE, Sumar/Frente Amplio and Podemos, a fragmentation that reduces their combined seat total and makes regional nationalist parties decisive in several provinces.