Overview
- High-quality national polling in early October shows President Trump’s approval at about 32 percent and Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot by multiple points.
- A Reuters/Ipsos survey completed Monday found Hispanic approval of Trump at roughly 24 percent and about 52 percent of Hispanic voters saying they plan to back Democrats in November.
- New York Times/Siena state polls show Democrats leading or competitive in long-time Republican states such as Ohio, Iowa, Texas and Alaska, with 9–16 percent of some Republican voters saying they prefer Democratic nominees.
- An AP‑NORC poll found roughly 65 percent of Americans blame Trump’s policies for higher prices, a factor pollsters and analysts say is driving Democratic gains and voter frustration.
- Republicans have reallocated ad money to defensive races, some candidates are distancing themselves from the president, and forecasters warn control of Congress still depends on turnout, late spending and whether polls undercount Republican voters.