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Poll Shows Prop. 50 Narrowly Ahead as DNC Mobilizes and Congress Targets Mid‑Decade Redistricting

Voters will decide on November 4 whether to replace California’s independent map with a temporary legislature-drawn plan.

Overview

  • An Emerson College survey finds 51% of California voters back Proposition 50, 34% oppose it and 15% are undecided, with support at 55% among those very likely to vote.
  • The Democratic National Committee launched a bilingual outreach drive with 41,000 volunteers to boost Latino support for Prop. 50.
  • The measure would suspend the Independent Citizens Redistricting Commission for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 cycles and install a Democratic-drawn congressional map designed to flip up to five GOP-held seats.
  • Sen. Alex Padilla and Rep. Zoe Lofgren introduced the Redistricting Reform Act to ban mid-decade redraws and require independent commissions nationwide, while Republican Rep. Kevin Kiley is pushing a similar ban and says he supports the Democrats’ framework.
  • Texas enacted a Trump-backed map to add up to five Republican seats and Missouri advanced a plan cutting a Democratic seat, and both states’ mid-cycle maps face legal challenges.