Overview

• Genial/Quaest finds a technical tie in October with 48% approval and 49% disapproval, the government’s best showing this year within a ±2-point margin.
• Forty-nine percent say Lula emerged politically stronger from his brief UN encounter with U.S. President Donald Trump, versus 27% who say weaker.
• The survey was conducted face-to-face with 2,004 respondents from Oct. 2–5 and concluded before news of a later phone call between the two presidents.
• Support for the income-tax exemption up to R$5,000 reaches 79%, a domestic measure cited as bolstering evaluations of the administration.
• Gains are concentrated among women (52% approval) and in the Northeast (about 60%–62% approval), while polarization remains stark across political camps and younger voters are more negative.