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Poll Shows Growing Empathy for Alberta Separatism but Limited Support for Independence

While 55% of Canadians understand Alberta's grievances, only 26% back the province's potential secession, as Premier Smith advances referendum legislation.

People gather in support of Alberta becoming a 51st state during a rally at the Legislature in Edmonton, on Saturday, May 3, 2025.
An Alberta separatist rally at the Alberta Legislature on May 3.

Overview

  • A Leger poll reveals that 55% of Canadians, including 70% of Albertans, understand the province's frustrations with federal policies, though only 26% support independence.
  • Premier Danielle Smith's government has introduced Bill 54, which aims to simplify citizen-led referendums, including those on separation from Canada.
  • Smith maintains she does not support secession but is using the potential referendum as leverage to negotiate a better deal with Prime Minister Mark Carney on fiscal and energy policies.
  • The survey highlights significant demographic and political divides, with Conservative voters more empathetic to Alberta's grievances compared to Liberal supporters.
  • Experts caution that public opinion on separation could shift significantly if a referendum moves forward, as seen in past provincial independence efforts like Quebec's.