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Poll Finds Majority Expect More Political Violence, With Younger Adults Most Likely to Justify It

The Politico/Public First survey captures cross‑party anxiety alongside a stark generational divide over the acceptability of violence.

Overview

  • Twenty-four percent of Americans say political violence can be justified in some cases, while 64% say it is never justified.
  • More than one in three adults under 45 endorse the idea that political violence can sometimes be warranted, outpacing older age groups.
  • Fifty-five percent expect political violence to increase in the coming years, with 61% of recent Harris voters and 50% of Trump voters anticipating a rise.
  • A majority say it is very or somewhat likely a political candidate will be assassinated within five years, including 51% of Trump voters and 53% of Harris voters.
  • The online poll surveyed 2,051 U.S. adults Oct. 18–21 (±2.2 points) and was reported alongside recent high‑profile attacks, including Charlie Kirk’s killing and attempts on President Trump in 2024.