Overview

• A new Opinia24 poll gives Rafał Trzaskowski 51 percent against Karol Nawrocki’s 48 percent as the June 1 runoff approaches.
• Slawomir Mentzen’s roughly 15 percent share from the first round makes his supporters the key to victory for both finalists.
• Trzaskowski publicly rejected Mentzen’s demands to rule out NATO membership for Ukraine, while Nawrocki endorsed all eight of Mentzen’s points.
• Both candidates are courting US support, explicitly seeking endorsement from President Donald Trump to reinforce Poland’s security against Russian threats.
• Nawrocki has intensified accusations that Trzaskowski answers to Germany, reviving the ‘German card’ to question his loyalties.