Overview

• Final polls put liberal mayor Rafał Trzaskowski and nationalist historian Karol Nawrocki neck-and-neck ahead of the June 1 runoff.
• A Trzaskowski victory would secure presidential backing for Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s reform agenda and strengthen Warsaw’s EU ties.
• Nawrocki, backed by the Law and Justice party and an admirer of Donald Trump, vows stricter migration controls and could use veto power to block legislation.
• Allegations of Nawrocki’s links to organized crime and prostitution have surfaced but appear to have little effect on his core supporters.
• Heightened security concerns over the war in Ukraine and reports of foreign interference add urgency to Sunday’s vote