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Poilievre’s Alberta Landslide Restores His Seat but Not His National Standing

Fresh polling shows Mark Carney’s Liberals leading ahead of a January leadership review.

Overview

  • Pierre Poilievre won Alberta’s Battle River–Crowfoot by‑election with roughly 80% of the vote and is set to return to the House of Commons, though his swearing‑in before the Sept. 15 sitting is not yet confirmed.
  • Nanos Research now puts the Liberals at 44% to the Conservatives’ 32%, with Mark Carney leading Poilievre 51% to 24% on preferred prime minister.
  • An Angus Reid survey reports 68% of Conservative voters back Poilievre, while many who considered voting Conservative want a change and 54% of that group say he should be voted out in January.
  • The January Conservative convention in Calgary will include a formal leadership review that will determine whether Poilievre remains leader.
  • Elections Canada used write‑in ballots after 214 candidate names were registered in the riding and says it will publish a review of the process, as Poilievre outlines a fall focus on crime, immigration, housing, inflation and scrapping the EV sales mandate.