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PNAS Study Finds Depolarization Tactics Yield Small, Short-Lived Gains

Researchers urge structural reforms that change elite and media incentives to sustain progress.

Overview

  • A meta-analysis of 25 studies covering 77 individual-level interventions found average increases in warmth toward the opposing party of about 5.3–5.4 points on a 101-point scale.
  • Follow-up measurements indicated roughly 75% of the initial improvement faded within one week, with nearly all effects gone by two weeks.
  • Two large U.S. experiments testing stacked interventions and timed booster exposures did not produce larger or more durable reductions in partisan animosity.
  • The measured gains were smaller than broader shifts in polarization, including an estimated 7% rise in partisan animosity between the 2016 and 2020 U.S. elections.
  • The authors conclude lasting depolarization will likely require systemic changes to political and media incentives alongside long-term investment in scalable dialogue and civic education.