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PMD Scales Back Cyclone Risk as Arabian Sea Low Brings Rains to Karachi

Forecasters flag a countrywide wet spell from October 4 to 6 driven by strengthening moist flows plus a western disturbance.

Overview

  • The PMD's latest update places the system about 440 km south of Karachi, says it is unlikely to become a tropical cyclone, and indicates it may dissipate over the sea.
  • Light rain or drizzle is forecast for Karachi today after earlier downpours, with humid, partly cloudy conditions persisting.
  • An earlier PMD alert had warned the low could intensify into a depression with winds up to roughly 55 km/h and rough seas, underscoring ongoing forecast uncertainty.
  • Recorded totals confirm the wet spell in Sindh, including Karachi Airport Old Area 34 mm, Faisal Base 30 mm, DHA 27 mm, and Gulshan-e-Hadeed 25 mm.
  • Fishermen have been advised to avoid deep-sea ventures in Sindh through October 3, while widespread rains with isolated heavy falls and hail are expected across Sindh, Punjab, KP, Kashmir and Gilgit-Baltistan from October 4 to 6.