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Plug-In Hybrids’ Real-World Emissions Nearly Match Petrol Cars, Major EU Study Finds

Onboard meter data from 800,000 vehicles shows drivers use electric mode far less than tests assume, distorting costs and compliance.

Overview

  • T&E reports that 2023 plug-in hybrid CO2 output was about 4.9 times higher in real driving than in laboratory tests, up from 3.5 times in 2021.
  • In practice, PHEVs emit only about 19% less CO2 than petrol and diesel cars, far below WLTP assumptions that suggested a 75% cut.
  • The gap is linked to overestimated utility factors, with real-world electric-mode use around 27% versus an official 84%, and engines operating for roughly one-third of ‘electric’ distance.
  • Underreported emissions let four major carmaker groups avoid more than €5bn in EU fines between 2021 and 2023, according to the analysis.
  • Drivers incur roughly €500 extra in annual running costs compared with lab-based estimates, intensifying debate over whether hybrids should be permitted after the EU’s 2035 zero-emission deadline.