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Pleasant Start to Fall Gives Way to a wetter, Stormier Workweek Across Much of the U.S.

Forecasters flag an elevated overnight severe threat in Oklahoma from Monday into early Tuesday.

16 WAPT Meteorologist Katie Garch has the latest most accurate weather forecast for Jackson and Central Mississippi
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Lajkonik, the children’s dance group of Krakowiak Polish Dancers of Boston, perform traditional Polish dances during the 25th Annual Polish Harvest Festival.

Overview

  • Many regions expect a mild, mostly dry first day of fall on Monday before humidity and rain chances increase.
  • Tuesday is highlighted as an impact day in several areas, with more widespread showers and thunderstorms and some spots topping an inch of rain by late Tuesday night.
  • Parts of Oklahoma face a Level 2 of 5 severe risk Monday night into early Tuesday with damaging winds up to 60–70 mph, large hail, and a low tornado risk.
  • Forecasts call for variable totals through late week, with 1–3 inches possible in places like Indiana that could offer modest drought relief.
  • Subtropical moisture may bring lighter showers to Southern and Central California Tuesday into early Wednesday, while temperatures trend from brief early‑week 80s–90s toward more seasonable 70s midweek in many areas.