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Playoff Picture on the Line as Alabama Hosts Oklahoma and Georgia Faces Texas

The CFP chair signaled that reaching the SEC title game strengthens Alabama’s playoff case, sharpening the stakes for Saturday’s SEC doubleheader.

Overview

  • Oddsmakers list No. 4 Alabama about a 6-point favorite over No. 11 Oklahoma and No. 5 Georgia around -6 to -6.5 against No. 10 Texas on Saturday.
  • SportsLine’s model projects underdog covers in both games, forecasting Oklahoma to cover at Alabama and Texas to cover at Georgia in the majority of simulations.
  • CFP chair Mack Rhoades said playing in a conference championship is viewed positively by the committee, a stance reported as effectively securing Alabama’s playoff spot if it reaches the SEC title game even with a loss there.
  • Alabama enters on an eight-game win streak behind QB Ty Simpson’s efficient season, while a key battleground is turnovers, with Alabama at plus-10 and Oklahoma at minus-five; the Sooners also carry a rest advantage after a bye.
  • Georgia is favored at home with ESPN’s predictor giving the Bulldogs roughly a 60% win chance, as Texas seeks to offset road struggles with Arch Manning’s recent uptick and a front that leads the nation in sacks.