Overview
- At 5-5, the Chiefs host the 8-2 Colts on Sunday at Arrowhead in a game widely framed as season-defining for Kansas City’s postseason bid.
- The matchup threatens the Chiefs’ run of playoff appearances dating to 2014 if they fall below .500 again.
- Colts QB Daniel Jones is listed as limited with a calf issue, and rookie Riley Leonard would be the expected starter if Jones cannot go; Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco was limited with a knee and is tracking toward a possible return.
- Indianapolis brings a top-ranked offense led by Jonathan Taylor (1,139 rushing yards, 15 TDs), while Kansas City leans on a top-tier defense and tends to win when reaching 28 points.
- Markets and models diverge: DraftKings lists Chiefs -3.5 with a total around 50.5, a Dimers simulation gives Kansas City a 62% win probability, and a ClutchPoints pick backs Colts +3.5 and the Under.