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Planning Minister Briefly Posts Embargoed IBGE Jobless Rate of 5.6% Before Official Release

The episode refocuses attention on IBGE’s restricted pre‑release safeguards.

Overview

  • Simone Tebet published the September unemployment rate on X at about 8:35 a.m. and deleted the post seconds later, ahead of the IBGE’s 9:00 a.m. release time.
  • The Ministry of Planning and Budget said the early post resulted from a platform publishing error and that the content was corrected within seconds.
  • IBGE confirmed unemployment at 5.6% for September, the lowest level since the Pnad Contínua series began in 2012.
  • The report also showed about 6 million unemployed, a record 102.4 million employed, and average earnings up 4% to R$3,507, with roughly 1.4 million more people employed year over year.
  • High‑impact data like this are shared under embargo with a small group of senior officials, and a 2024 early reference by Finance Minister Fernando Haddad is a recent precedent that underscores market sensitivity to leaks.