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Pico Favored as Murphy Pledges Finish Ahead of UFC 319 Co-Main

Betting markets have tightened around Pico’s UFC debut, with Murphy stepping in late to promise a stoppage victory.

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(via Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC
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Overview

  • Aaron Pico enters UFC 319 as a slight favorite at around –150 to –158 across major sportsbooks, reflecting growing confidence in his debut performance.
  • Lerone Murphy accepted the co-main event on short notice after Movsar Evloev’s withdrawal and remains undefeated at 16-0-1 while ranked No. 6 in the featherweight division.
  • Murphy publicly vowed to ‘finish’ Pico this Saturday, aiming to overturn his recent trend of decision victories and make a statement in Chicago.
  • Murphy cited increasingly taxing weight cuts for a dip in knockout power and says he’s been sharpening his wrestling to complement his technical striking.
  • Analysts view Pico’s aggressive wrestling and finishing ability as a KO/TKO threat, whereas Murphy’s durability and precision suggest a fight likely heading to the judges if he wins by decision.