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Philippines-China South China Sea Deal Faces Uncertainty

Conflicting statements over resupply missions to disputed shoal create tension and skepticism

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FILE PHOTO: Members of the Philippine Coast Guard stand alert as a Chinese Coast Guard vessel blocks their way to a resupply mission at Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea, March 5, 2024. REUTERS/Adrian Portugal/File Photo
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Overview

  • Philippines and China have differing interpretations of a provisional agreement on resupply missions.
  • China claims the Philippines must provide advance notice and allow on-site inspections, which Manila denies.
  • Analysts doubt the deal's viability due to the lack of a publicly released agreement text.
  • Recent clashes, including a violent incident in June, have heightened concerns over potential conflict.
  • The US has expressed support for the Philippines, emphasizing the importance of de-escalation.