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Pharma R&D Seen Holding Steady Under MFN Pricing Push

The biggest price cuts are expected on direct-to-consumer portals, with limited immediate benefit for patients using insurance.

Overview

  • Industry analysis concludes MFN-linked reductions in U.S. drug prices are unlikely to significantly curtail overall pharmaceutical R&D spending.
  • Pfizer is the first to adopt MFN terms, covering Medicaid and TrumpRx, with large discounts routed through government and manufacturer direct-to-consumer channels.
  • President Trump says talks are ongoing with additional drugmakers, specifically naming Eli Lilly as a company in discussions.
  • Analysts expect the deepest discounts to accrue to cash-paying patients using DTC sites, with insured consumers likely seeing little change to out-of-pocket costs for now.
  • Experts propose cost-saving levers such as reallocating advertising budgets and modernizing development with AI, organoids and adaptive trials, while disagreeing on whether startups will be hurt or helped.