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Pew Says U.S. Immigrant Population Fell by 1.4 Million in First Half of 2025

Researchers link the drop to stricter policies and increased removals, marking the first decline since the 1960s.

ARCHIVO - Una familia de cinco personas que dice ser de Guatemala y un hombre que dice ser de Perú, con camisa rosa, caminan por el desierto después de cruzar el muro fronterizo en el sector de Tucson de la frontera entre EEUU y México, el 29 de agosto de 2023, cerca de Lukeville, Arizona. (AP Foto/Matt York, Archivo)
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Trabajadores en una granja de California desafían con banderas mexicanas a agentes del ICE durante una redada

Overview

  • Pew estimates the foreign‑born population declined 2.6% from 53.3 million in January to 51.9 million in June, with preliminary July data indicating the slide continued.
  • DHS reports more than 352,000 arrests and about 324,000 deportations in the administration’s early months, reflecting a sharp enforcement surge.
  • The decline implies a loss of roughly 750,000 immigrant workers, with pressure reported in agriculture, construction, hospitality, and care sectors.
  • UNAM researcher Luciana Gandini argues mass‑deportation pledges are impractical at current rates, noting about 150,000 deportations to date and estimating 50 years to reach 15 million.
  • Operational and regional effects include expanded ICE charter flights for removals and at least 4,500 people from Veracruz reported deported since March.