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Pessimism Deepens Before UK Budget, Poll Shows Little Faith in Economic Stewardship

Voters favour targeted steps over tax rises, reflecting pressure on Rachel Reeves after weeks of leaks and reversals.

Overview

  • New YouGov data finds 79% say the economy is in a bad state and 77% rate the government’s handling of it as poor.
  • Public support clusters around specific measures, including higher taxes on gambling companies (82%), removing VAT from energy bills (76%), taxes on the most expensive homes (60%), and subsidies for youth jobs (60%).
  • Personal tax rises are viewed as unfair by 66%, and the floated basic rate income tax increase was abandoned following backlash.
  • Expectations diverge from preferences, with many anticipating higher fuel duty (58%) and lower Cash ISA allowances (52%) while only 8% think energy VAT removal will happen.
  • The Daily Mail reports Rachel Reeves briefed MPs on a potential ‘mansion tax’, as opposition figures and business leaders warn pre‑Budget uncertainty is denting investment and the IFS outlines costs if tax thresholds remain frozen.