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Peso Rebounds to 18.49 Per Dollar as Traders Eye Banxico Decision

Investors are positioning for Banxico's decision this week, with a widely expected quarter-point cut shaping near-term currency risk.

Overview

  • The peso strengthened roughly 0.30% on November 3 to about 18.49 per dollar, breaking a short losing streak after an overnight range between 18.48 and 18.59.
  • Analysts at Banco Base and Monex linked the move to a broader dollar correction and improved risk tone in emerging and commodity currencies, while cautioning the rebound may be tentative.
  • Markets are focused on Banxico’s policy meeting this week, with a Reuters survey showing most expect a 25 basis point cut to 7.25% that traders have largely priced.
  • Banxico reported remittances fell for a sixth consecutive month in September, leaving year-to-date inflows down 5.5% to $45.681 billion and trimming a key source of foreign currency.
  • Stronger Q3 peso levels filtered into corporate results, with multiple BMV-listed firms reporting FX headwinds; Grupo Carso booked a 790 million peso currency loss versus a gain a year earlier.