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Peso Firms as Central Bank Buys Dollars for Tenth Day, Driving Official Rate to Two‑Month Low

Sterilized reserve purchases have cooled FX markets, tightening peso liquidity with short‑term rates jumping.

Overview

  • Banco Central bought US$125 million on Friday and has accumulated US$687 million since January 5, marking ten straight buying sessions, even as gross reserves hovered near US$44.61 billion after other outflows.
  • The Banco Nación rate closed at ARS 1,455 and the wholesale at about ARS 1,430, extending a multi‑day slide and sitting roughly 8% below the current band ceiling of ARS 1,546.18.
  • Parallel and financial exchange rates eased, with the blue near ARS 1,500, MEP around ARS 1,471 and CCL about ARS 1,518, while FX futures priced lower across near‑term contracts.
  • To neutralize pesos from its FX purchases, the central bank sold dollar‑linked bonds, which drained liquidity, sent very short‑term rates to extreme levels, and forced the Treasury to roll over 98% of maturities at higher yields.
  • The government reported a 2025 primary surplus of 1.4% of GDP and a financial surplus of 0.2%, the IMF praised the reserve buildup, and local assets saw modest gains with country risk near 564–565 basis points.