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Peso Firms and Mexican Stocks Rally Ahead of Banxico Decision

Investors position for a widely expected quarter-point Banxico cut, reflecting improved global risk appetite.

Overview

  • The peso appreciated 0.19% to roughly 18.35–18.36 per dollar after three sessions of losses, according to Banco de México data.
  • The S&P/BMV IPC rose 1.31% to 62,004.11 points, nearing its recent record as global tech optimism strengthened risk appetite.
  • Sentiment was buoyed by the announcement that Nvidia will invest $100 billion in OpenAI to advance AI computing.
  • Market consensus points to a 25 basis point cut from Banxico this week, while Fed officials emphasized that lowering inflation remains the priority.
  • Speculative long positions in peso futures on the CME increased to about 78,000 contracts, a 5.83% weekly rise that can amplify short-term FX moves.